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Investment Philosophy
Concord believes that in an era of increasing market
efficiency, large differences still remain between
companies’ true earnings potential and investor
expectations for growth. This results from the
potential for emerging product trends at the industry or
company level to be seriously underestimated by both
analysts and investors. The ultimate upward
revision in expectations for earnings is what drives
stock price performance. Our process revolves
entirely around identifying companies where expectations
are soon to be rising or haven’t yet risen enough.
We
employ a consistent, disciplined bottom-up approach to
our study of a company and its competitors. More
importantly, we feel it is critical to embrace the
perspective of business owner, not passive investor.
This forces us to thoroughly understand the drivers of
product demand, and model a vision for the future that
exposes the gaps between growth and expectations.
Investment
Process
We
begin with a screen of our investable universe,
including among other factors a market cap range of $10
billion and higher. The primary objective is to find
companies in various phases of growth. The investment
team then decides which names will undergo a deep
qualitative review. Our qualitative work aims to
evaluate the sustainability and profile of the current
phase of growth the company is experiencing. Highest
emphasis is placed on industry dynamics and the
company’s strategy, products and competitive position.
The process also involves but is not limited to a study
of the company’s management and financial health.
The process is directed by the Chief Investment
Officer, who is supported by two analysts. This team
meets formally twice weekly, where perspectives for
decisions (PFDs) are shaped via presentation and
discussion. We have access to street research which we
combine with other internal and external sources to
build our PFDs. A potential buy list develops, with
some names purchased immediately and others placed on a
watch list for further tracking of fundamentals or stock
price.
Our sell discipline involves all of the same aspects of
our purchase criteria. Positions are sold when
fundamentals show signs of peaking or changing
direction, or if a stock’s valuation reveals a situation
where expectations are now running ahead of its true
earnings potential. We quantitatively screen the
existing portfolio to force the team to examine more
closely the names which may be candidates for sale.
Our process emphasizes risk management on the front-end
of portfolio construction. In addition to rules
designed to prevent us from owning broken growth
companies, we maintain specified limits on sector
weights, position size and portfolio beta. On the
back-end, we further protect the portfolio with a
disciplined sell stop system. The aim is to
eliminate truly excessive losses in any single holding
without meaningfully increasing portfolio turnover.
Portfolio Construction
The primary driver of
portfolio construction is our growth stock selection
process. However, the portfolio is also assembled with
regard to benchmark weightings of sectors and
industries. Our objective is to run a diversified
portfolio and not allow our bottom-up work to
dramatically overweight a particular sector. The
portfolio generally holds 35-40 positions, with cash
kept at a modest level. We do not attempt to time
markets. Our typical holding period is 1-3 years, but
may be adjusted based on company fundamentals. Turnover
has historically remained below 30%. Attribution
software allows us to manage relative performance
daily. Composite returns are also calculated daily. |